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Match Group Inc (MTCH) — wheel strategy suitability

Where MTCH sits as an underlying for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls, and what its own price history says about the risk of being assigned into a falling stock. Snapshot of 3 October 2026.

80
Preferred
Wheel score is a landmine-avoidance filter, not a return forecast. It is reliable at flagging names to avoid and weaker at finely ranking the names that pass — read the band, not the decimal place.

Match Group Inc (MTCH) scores 80 on the Wheel score, which puts it in the preferred band for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls.

The score is carried by its quality (84/100) and held back by valuation (68/100). Growth is deliberately excluded from this score: fast growers tend to carry high implied volatility and gap risk, which is the opposite of what a wheel seller wants. It is not cheap, so assignment would leave you holding a fully priced stock.

It has monthly options only, which costs it a small liquidity haircut. Workable, but every roll commits you for a month.

Over the last 3.0 years it had 2 days with a fall of 10% or more (0.67 a year), a deepest drawdown of -29.9%, and a worst single session of -17.9%. That is in line with the median screened name (0.67 gap-downs a year, -44.9% typical worst drawdown).

Realised volatility runs about 37% annualised. That sits in the range where premium is worth collecting without the stock being wild.

Ownership context: held by Starboard and an activist 13D filing on the register (13D 6.6% '24). A 13D means someone has taken a stake with intent to influence the company. Read the recent news before selling puts here — that is the kind of situation that moves a stock on an announcement.

Entry timing currently reads as a dip within an uptrend — historically the better half of the cycle to sell puts into.

Score breakdown

Wheel score800–100 suitability for options selling
Quality84ROIC, margins, leverage, accruals
Valuation68cheaper on fwd P/E, EV/EBITDA, FCF yield
Margin stability—steadier earnings score higher
Options listedMonthlyweekly avoids the liquidity haircut
Accounting flags0−8 points each

Realised tail risk

Computed from our own daily price history, 2023-10-04 to 2026-10-01 (749 sessions). The Wheel score is built from fundamentals, so these price-derived numbers are an independent check on it, not a restatement of it.

Days falling 10%+ in one session20.67 a year
Deepest drawdown-29.9%peak to trough
Worst single session-17.9%
Realised volatility37%annualised

Fundamentals

Revenue (ttm)3,487M USD
Revenue CAGR (3y)3.0%
Net margin17.6%
Return on equity—
Share price$40.13
Days to earnings31
Sector / industryCommunication Services · Internet Content & Information

Open the MTCH options chain on Yahoo Finance to check live strikes and premium — this page deliberately carries no quotes, because a quote baked into a static page is stale before you read it.

Run the numbers on MTCH

Pre-filled with the snapshot price of $40.13 and 30-day realised volatility; add the strike and premium from the live option chain.

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Important: research and educational information only, not financial advice and not a recommendation to buy or sell any security or options contract. Figures come from public filings and third-party data and may be wrong or out of date. Options selling carries a real risk of substantial loss. See the full disclaimer.