Screen › Candidate profiles › ARCO
Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc (ARCO) — wheel strategy suitability
Where ARCO sits as an underlying for selling cash-secured puts and covered calls, and what its own price history says about the risk of being assigned into a falling stock. Snapshot of 3 October 2026.
Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc (ARCO) scores 68 on the Wheel score, which puts it in the acceptable band — it passes the profitability and options filters but is not among the strongest candidates.
The score is carried by its valuation (84/100) and held back by quality (53/100). That cheapness matters mainly on the put side — it is the cushion you have if you are assigned. The quality leg is the weak one, so read the balance sheet before you accept assignment rather than after.
It has monthly options only, which costs it a small liquidity haircut. Workable, but every roll commits you for a month.
Over the last 3.0 years it had 0 days with a fall of 10% or more (0.0 a year), a deepest drawdown of -47.9%, and a worst single session of -9.4%. That is better than the median screened name (0.67 gap-downs a year, -44.9% typical worst drawdown).
Realised volatility runs about 34% annualised. That sits in the range where premium is worth collecting without the stock being wild.
Ownership context: an activist 13D filing on the register (13D 5.8% '16). A 13D means someone has taken a stake with intent to influence the company. Read the recent news before selling puts here — that is the kind of situation that moves a stock on an announcement.
There is no uptrend in the price right now, so assignment would leave you holding something that is not going up.
Score breakdown
| Wheel score | 68 | 0–100 suitability for options selling |
|---|---|---|
| Quality | 53 | ROIC, margins, leverage, accruals |
| Valuation | 84 | cheaper on fwd P/E, EV/EBITDA, FCF yield |
| Margin stability | — | steadier earnings score higher |
| Options listed | Monthly | weekly avoids the liquidity haircut |
| Accounting flags | 0 | −8 points each |
Realised tail risk
Computed from our own daily price history, 2023-10-04 to 2026-10-01 (749 sessions). The Wheel score is built from fundamentals, so these price-derived numbers are an independent check on it, not a restatement of it.
| Days falling 10%+ in one session | 0 | 0.0 a year |
|---|---|---|
| Deepest drawdown | -47.9% | peak to trough |
| Worst single session | -9.4% | |
| Realised volatility | 34% | annualised |
Fundamentals
| Revenue (ttm) | 4,678M USD |
|---|---|
| Revenue CAGR (3y) | 8.9% |
| Net margin | 4.5% |
| Return on equity | 27.5% |
| Share price | $6.91 |
| Days to earnings | 46 |
| Sector / industry | Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants |
Open the ARCO options chain on Yahoo Finance to check live strikes and premium — this page deliberately carries no quotes, because a quote baked into a static page is stale before you read it.
Run the numbers on ARCO
Pre-filled with the snapshot price of $6.91 and 30-day realised volatility; add the strike and premium from the live option chain.